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Geopolitics

Prediction Markets Are the CIA's Worst Nightmare—And Best Intelligence Source
Geopolitics

Prediction Markets Are the CIA's Worst Nightmare—And Best Intelligence Source

Prediction markets predicted Ukraine's escalation, Middle East conflicts, and trade wars before traditional intelligence agencies even filed their reports—proving that money talks louder than classified briefings.

Signal Samurai·2026-02-27·5m
What Kalshi Tells Us About the Next Global Crisis
Geopolitics

What Kalshi Tells Us About the Next Global Crisis

While diplomats speak in euphemisms and analysts hedge every statement, Kalshi contracts are pricing geopolitical risk with brutal honesty. Here's what the markets are saying right now.

Market Truth Marta·2026-02-23·2m
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